A lie detector is known to be 4/5 reliable when the person is guilty and 9/10 reliable when the person is innocent. If a suspect is chosen from a group of suspects of which only 1/100 have ever committed a crime, and the test indicates that the person is guilty, what is the probability that he is guilty?

Answers

Answer 1

Answer:

0.0748 = 7.48% probability that he is guilty

Step-by-step explanation:

Conditional Probability

We use the conditional probability formula to solve this question. It is

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}[/tex]

In which

P(B|A) is the probability of event B happening, given that A happened.

[tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex] is the probability of both A and B happening.

P(A) is the probability of A happening.

In this question:

Event A: Tests indicates guilty

Event B: Person is guilty

Probability that the test indicates that the person is guilty:

4/5 = 0.8 of 1/100 = 0.01(person is guilty)

1 - 0.9 = 0.1 of 1 - 0.99(person is not guilty). So

[tex]P(A) = 0.8*0.01 + 0.1*0.99 = 0.107[/tex]

Test indicates guilty and the person is guilty;

0.01 of 0.8. So

[tex]P(A \cap B) = 0.01*0.8 = 0.008[/tex]

What is the probability that he is guilty?

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} = \frac{0.008}{0.107} = 0.0748[/tex]

0.0748 = 7.48% probability that he is guilty

Answer 2

The required value is [tex]\simeq0.925 \ or \ 92.5[/tex]%.

Probability:

Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an event to occur. Many events cannot be predicted with total certainty. We can predict only the chance of an event to occur i.e., how likely they are to happen, using it.

Let [tex]T_G[/tex] and [tex]T_I[/tex] denote the test result being guilty or innocent respectively.

And, [tex]G[/tex] and [tex]I[/tex] denote that the person is guilty or innocent respectively.

Given that: [tex]P\left ( T_G\mid I \right )=\frac{4}{5}[/tex]

[tex]P\left ( T_I\mid I \right )=\frac{9}{10}\Rightarrow P\left ( T_G\mid I \right )=1-\frac{9}{10}=\frac{1}{10}[/tex]

[tex]P(G)=\frac{1}{100} \\ \therefore P(I)=1-P(G) \\ =1-\frac{1}{100} \\ =\frac{99}{100}[/tex]

Now, the required probability is,

[tex]P(I\mid T_G)=\frac{P\left ( T_G\mid I \right )\times P(I)}{P(T_G\mid I)\times P(I)+P\left ( T_G\mid G \right )\times P(G)}[/tex]

              [tex]=\frac{\frac{1}{10}\times\frac{99}{100}}{\left ( \frac{1}{10}\times \frac{99}{100}\right )+\left ( \frac{4}{5}\times\frac{1}{100} \right )} \\ =\frac{0.099}{0.099+0.008} \\ =\frac{0.099}{0.107} \\ =0.92523 \\ \simeq 0.925 \\ or \ 92.5%[/tex]

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Related Questions

Using the photo above, describe what type of symmetry it has.

a. if it has reflection symmetry, draw all lines of symmetry.

b. if it has rotational symmetry, what is all the angle of rotational symmetry (the smallest)

c. if has translational symmetry, what is shape is getting repeated​

Answers

B because it’s rotating in a circle

9514 1404 393

Answer:

  b) rotational symmetry: multiples of 120°

Step-by-step explanation:

The figure does not have a line of symmetry, or a point of symmetry. However, rotating it 1/3 turn (120°) will make it look like itself. Hence, it has rotational symmetry of degree 3. A rotation of any multiple of 120° will map the figure to itself.

Question 3
Which of the following can be formed when a plane intersects a cone? Select all that apply.

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Answer:

in geometry nation, is circle, isosceles triangle and parabola.

Step-by-step explanation:

just did it.

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Answer:

6. 1351.92

7. -52

8.Bus Pass

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The area of a square mural is 144x2 - 72x + 9. What is the length of one side
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Answers

Answer:

-0.25 units

Step-by-step explanation:

144x^2 - 72x + 9 = 0

common factor: 9

16x^2 - 8x + 1 = 0

(4x + 1)^2 = 0

4x +1 = 0

4x = -1

x = -0.25 units

Please help! Find the perimeter of Trapezoid ABCD. (round your answer to the nearest tenth.)

Answer + explanation please!

Answers

Answer:

19.8 units

Step-by-step explanation:

BC = 5

AD = 8

CD = 1²+3²=c²

1+9=c²

√10=c

c=3.1627766

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4+9=c²

√13=c

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Carissa folds 32 TShirts in 8 minutes. How many TShirts can she fold in 20 minutes?

Answers

Answer:

5

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

80 TShirts in 20 minutes

Step-by-step explanation:

32/8 = 4 Tshirts in a minute

4 x 20 = 80 TShirts in 20 minutes

Which of the following would increase if the professional football players were removed from the data set?

Answers

Answer:

the standard deviation of the residuals

Step-by-step explanation:

The removal of the professional football players will cause the correlation, and consequently r2 to become closer to 0 due to the fact that the high school athletes tend to show no association between the number of energy drinks consumed and the number of pull ups that can be done. The slope of the regression line will also be nearly 0 without the professional football players. The standard deviation of the residuals, however, will increase without the presence of the professional football players because the remaining scatter about the new regression line will be greater due to the loss of the 4 professional football players which all had small residuals.

The option that will increase if the football players were removed from the data set is the standard deviation of the residuals

What is standard deviation?

It should be noted that standard deviation simply means the difference between the observed data and the predicted values.

In this case, the standard deviation of the residual will increase if the football players were removed from the data set as the removal of the professional football players will cause the correlation.

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k/4 +3=14 What is the answer to this question?

Answers

Answer:

k=44

Step-by-step explanation:

pleasee help me i will give you brainliest

Answers

Answer:

40

Step-by-step explanation:

6=110 1=40 because it's not gonna be a higher character

New appliances for the kitchen will include a new refrigerator ($1,649.99), dishwasher ($369.99), and electric range ($1,146.99) which will be purchased at the local appliance store. Estimate the cost of the appliances to the nearest hundred dollars. Then calculate the actual total cost of the appliances. New appliances for the kitchen will include a new refrigerator ($1,649.99), dishwasher ($369.99), and electric range ($1,146.99) which will be purchased at the local appliance store. Estimate the cost of the appliances to the nearest hundred dollars. Then calculate the actual total cost of the appliances.

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Answer:

estimated price is $3167 and actual price is $3166.97

Two hundred sixty students were surveyed on whether they prefer apple juice or orange juice. A table of relative frequencies is shown. How many more girls prefer apple juice than boys?

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this is a hard question because usually boys prefer apple juice

Answer:

91

Step-by-step explanation:

The area of a poster board is (x2 + 9x – 10) square inches. Find the dimensions of the
poster board if x = 16.
The dimensions of the poster board are
inches by
inches.

Answers

Answer:

                                                 

Step-by-step explanation:

 

Match the Situation with an Inequality Statement Below

It cost $12 to attend a golf clinic with a pro. Practice golf balls cost $3 per bucket.

If you have $30 saved but don't want to spend it all, how many buckets of golf balls at most can you by for practice.

Group of answer choices

12 > 3x +30

3x -12 < 30

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12 - 3x > 30

Answers

The first one is the answer

Calculate the finance charge for a credit card that has an average daily balance of Php5,600 and a monthly interest rate of 1.35 %

Answers

Answer:The simplest way to calculate a finance charge is: balance X monthly rate

Step-by-step explanation:

i thinkk

500 X .015 = $7.50

The finance charge for a credit card that has an average daily balance of 5,600 and a monthly interest rate of 1.35 % is $75.6.

What is the finance charge?

The finance charge is the product of an average daily balance to the monthly interest rate.

finance charge = balance x monthly rate

The simplest way to calculate a finance charge = balance x monthly rate

= 5,600 x 0.0135

= $75.6

Thus, the finance charge for a credit card that has an average daily balance of 5,600 and a monthly interest rate of 1.35 % is $75.6.

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A CD has a diamter of 4.75 inches, Find the circumference, Use calculator pi or 3.14. Round to the nearest hundredth, if necessary.

WILL GIVE BRAINLIEST!!!

Answers

Answer:

15 in.

Step-by-step explanation:

Someone please help me answer this!!

Answers

Answer:

b = 9cm is the answer.

Step-by-step explanation:

a = 12cm

b = ?

c = 15cm

By using the Pythagoras theorem,

a² + b² = c²

12² + b² = 15²

144 + b² = 225

b² = 225 - 144

b² = 81

b = 9cm.

∴ b = 9cm is the length of the missing leg.

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how do you find and (draw) graph slope.​

Answers

Answer:

y=-x+4

The equation is in the form y=mx+c, where m is the slope and c is the y-intercept, so we know that the slope (m) is -1, and the y-intercept (c) is 4.

The y-intercept is the value of y when x=0. So you can mark (0,4) as a point on the line.

The next thing I would do is take any value for x and find another point on the line. Let's let x=2:

y=-2+4

y=2

So now we know another point on the line (2,2). Mark this on the graph too.

Then connect these two points and extend to the line to finish off your graph, and you're done!

(PS: if the whole 'y-intercept' thing gives you a headache, you can just pick any two values for x, sub them in to find the points, mark those points and connect. There's also a method for graphing using just the slope and y-intercept, but the method above is usually what people prefer to do)

I've attached a sketch that corresponds to my answer to give you an idea:

What is the equation of the line that best fits the given data? A graph has points (negative 3, negative 3), (negative 2, negative 2), (1, 1.5), (2, 2), (3, 3), (4, 4). a. y = 2 x + 1 c. y = x + 1 b. y = x d. y = negative x Please select the best answer from the choices provided A B C D

Answers

Answer:

it's B on edge

Step-by-step explanation:

I took one for the team

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

Solve the equation by completing the square. Round your solutions to the nearest hundredth if necessary. x^2+2x=5

Answers

Answer: The correct answers are -3.45 and 1.45

Step-by-step explanation: The only problem you had was you rounded it to the tenths place instead of the hundredths place.

Sorry for getting back to you late.

Can someone help with this, please? :)

Answers

Answer:

answer is D i believe

Step-by-step explanation:

PLEASE HELP ASAP!!! URGENT

Verify the identity. Sinx/1-cosx = cscx+cotx

Please use the answers shown in the image !! Thank you !!

Answers

Answer:

1) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \csc x + \cot x[/tex]

2) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{1}{\sin x} + \frac{\cos x}{\sin x}[/tex]

3) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{1+\cos x}{\sin x}[/tex]

4) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{\sin x \cdot (1+\cos x)}{\sin^{2}x}[/tex]

5) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{\sin x\cdot (1+\cos x)}{1-\cos^{2}x}[/tex]

6) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{\sin x\cdot (1+\cos x)}{(1+\cos x)\cdot (1-\cos x)}[/tex]

7) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x}[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Now we proceed to show all steps needed to demonstrate the trigonometric identity:

1) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \csc x + \cot x[/tex] Given.

2) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{1}{\sin x} + \frac{\cos x}{\sin x}[/tex] Identities for cosecant and cotangent functions.

3) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{1+\cos x}{\sin x}[/tex]             [tex]\frac{a}{b}+\frac{c}{b} = \frac{a+c}{b}[/tex]

4) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{\sin x \cdot (1+\cos x)}{\sin^{2}x}[/tex] Existence of additive inverse/Modulative property.

5) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{\sin x\cdot (1+\cos x)}{1-\cos^{2}x}[/tex]    Fundamental trigonometric identity.

6) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{\sin x\cdot (1+\cos x)}{(1+\cos x)\cdot (1-\cos x)}[/tex]   Factorization.

7) [tex]\frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x} = \frac{\sin x}{1-\cos x}[/tex] Existence of additive inverse/Modulative property/Result.

Is 7/2 the same as 1/5

Answers

Answer:

No.

Step-by-step explanation:

Calculation: 2/4 + 3/4 - fraction calculator. Result: 5/4 = 1 1/4.

Evaluate x[tex]x^{2} \sqrt{(x^3+9)}[/tex]with subsititution using u=x^3+9

Answers

It sounds like you're talking about an integral, namely

[tex]\displaystyle\int x^2\sqrt{x^3+9}\,\mathrm dx[/tex]

Substitute u = x ³ + 9, so that du = 3x ² dx. Then

[tex]\displaystyle\int x^2\sqrt{x^3+9}\,\mathrm dx=\frac13\int\sqrt{u}\,\mathrm du=\frac13\times\frac23u^{\frac32}+C=\boxed{\frac29(x^3+9)^{\frac32}+C}[/tex]

I need the answer , help me please

Answers

the answer is y=1/5x-1

Arthur earned $22.50 last night delivering lunches for his family's restaurant. He puts 30% of his earnings into his savings account. he then bought a magazine for $3.95 and a CD for $11.49. of the amount earned last night, how much money does arthur have left that is not in his savings account​

Answers

Answer:

$4.26

Step-by-step explanation:

What is the area of the polygon below?
A. 120 square units
9
10
B. 174 square units
16
C. 66 square units
12
D. 84 square units

Answers

Answer:

D

Step-by-step explanation:

12-9 = 3 square unit

10 x 3 = 30 square unit

9×6 = 54 square unit

54+30 = 84 square units

and thats the answer

The area of the polygon is 84 square units, option D is correct.

What is Area of Rectangle?

The area of Rectangle is length times of width.

The given polygon has two rectangles.

Area of rectangle with length 9 and width is 6 units

Area of rectangle 1 =9×6

=54 square inches

Now Area of rectangle with length 10 and width is 3 units

Area of rectangle 2 =10×3

=30 square inches

Total area = 54+30

=84 square units

Hence, the area of the polygon is 84 square units, option D is correct.

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Pictures in order !

Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

2XV=WY

2(2x+4)=7x-1

4x+8=7x-1

3x=9

x=3

XV=2x+4=10

WY=7x-1=20

What is the slope between (-4, 0) and (0, 2)?

Answers

Answer:0.5

Step-by-step explanation: y = 0.5x + 2

the two rectangular plots of land have properties side lengths what is the perimeter of the smaller rectangle A. 28 B. 32 C. 36 D. 76

Answers

Answer:

I think that it would be b 32

How do you add
2 2/3 + 6/7

Answers

Answer:

3 11/21

Step-by-step explanation:

2 2/3=(2*3+2)/3=8/3

8/3+6/7=56/21+18/21=74/21 or 3 11/21

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